Lower League Analyst - EFL & National League Football Analytics

Every fixture across the Championship, League One, League Two and National League analysed across 8 data factors - form, expected goals, shots on target, defensive record, fixture difficulty, home advantage, rest days and injuries - with a conviction score out of 10.

Only fixtures scoring 7.0 or higher on the conviction model are surfaced as picks, so you see the games with the strongest data-backed case rather than a long list of noise.

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How the 8-factor conviction model works

Each fixture is scored on recent form, expected goals for and against, shots on target trends, defensive solidity, fixture difficulty relative to league position, home advantage, rest and travel, and current injuries or suspensions. The eight signals combine into a single conviction score from 0 to 10 that reflects how strong the data-backed case is for the match.

Lower League Analyst is a data research tool, not a betting product.