Boreham Wood form and fixture data: every score the model has given them, 2026/27
Boreham Wood form and fixture data from an 8-factor conviction model. 8 fixtures scored this season, 5 played, 4 released, more than any other club on the site. As at 2 September 2026.
Boreham Wood form and fixture data on this page comes from an 8-factor conviction model that scores every fixture and shows its working. As at 2 September 2026 it has scored 8 Boreham Wood fixtures this season, 5 have been played, and 4 have been released, more than for any other club on the site. Boreham Wood sat first in the National League on 13 points from 5 games as at 3 September 2026. Their next scored fixture is at Eastleigh on 12 September, released as an away call at 7.6 and priced 1.53 at the time of rating.
Our released record is 27 from 39 released picks, 14 April to 5 September 2026. The full ledger is at /performance. Thirty nine settled picks is a small sample and the next thirty nine will not necessarily look like them. The split is the honest part: 19 from 22 across 14 April to 2 May 2026, then 8 from 17 since the new season opened on 31 August 2026.
Every Boreham Wood fixture the model has scored this season
The panel below reads the database on every page load, so the scores, factor breakdown, gate status and next fixture are current rather than typed out at publication.
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Why the model keeps calling Boreham Wood on the road
Three of their four released picks this season are calls for Boreham Wood away from Meadow Park, and that is unusual to the point of being a statistic in itself.
Across the 324 fixtures the model has scored this season, as at 3 September 2026, it called home 310 times, away 14 times, and draw not once. Three of those twelve away calls are Boreham Wood fixtures: the 31 August trip to Worthing, the 12 September trip to Eastleigh and the 16 September trip to Scunthorpe.
The Away Record factor is behind it. That factor has fired 14 times in the entire season across all four divisions, as at 3 September 2026, and 3 of those 14 firings are Boreham Wood fixtures. On the Scunthorpe fixture it reads 10.0 out of 10.
The highest score in their file
Scunthorpe against Boreham Wood on 16 September 2026, released at 8.7 at the time of rating. It is the second highest score on the whole released board.
The six factors behind it, at the time of rating, are Away Record 10.0, Recent Form 9.7, League Position 9.3, Goals and Clean Sheets 8.8, Fixture Difficulty 7.5 and Head to Head 5.8. Two of the eight are missing and they are missing for the whole division: the model holds zero Shot Data and xG rows and zero Injuries and Suspensions rows across every National League fixture scored this season.
What the model called, and what actually happened
The one released Boreham Wood pick that has settled landed. The model called Boreham Wood to win away at Worthing on 31 August 2026, rated 7.3, and Boreham Wood won 3-2, a result published on the club's own site.
That is one settled pick. It proves the pick was right. It proves nothing about the next one.
Where the model is wrong about Boreham Wood
It spent August getting them wrong, and it released none of it, which is the only reason that sentence is comfortable to write.
Across the five played Boreham Wood fixtures this season the model's call was correct twice, between 8 August and 31 August 2026. It called the home side in the first four of them and was wrong in three, including calling Boreham Wood to be held or beaten in two fixtures they won away from home while sitting top of the division. Every one of those four was withheld, because both clubs must have six league games behind them before a pick is shown to anyone.
The gate is doing the work here, not the score. A model that had published those four reads would be defending them now.
Boreham Wood against the release gate
Through it, earlier than anyone else. The National League kicked off on 8 August, a week before the EFL, so its clubs reached the games-played gate first, and the division holds 14 of the 19 released picks on the whole board, as at 10 September 2026. This page said 22 of 37 on 3 September. That count was wrong: it included fixtures the gates were holding back.
Their next scored fixture is at home to Carlisle United on 5 September 2026, released at 7.1 at the time of rating.
Questions about Boreham Wood and the conviction model
Answered below, and every number on this page carries the date it was read.
Where to go next
- National League 2026/27 season preview, now carrying an in season section.
- National League predictions.
- The released board, every released pick this season with the misses named.
- How the 8-factor conviction score works.
Model figures from Lower League Analyst's own database, read live on 2 September 2026, snapshot 08:02 UTC. League position, points, the Worthing result and the 5 September fixture were verified against borehamwoodfootballclub.co.uk on 2 September 2026. Fixture scores are quoted at the score the fixture held when it was rated. The live panel on this page re-reads the database on every page load. Lower League Analyst is not affiliated with Boreham Wood FC. Lower League Analyst is not a bookmaker and does not take bets. No model can guarantee a result and past performance is not a guide to future outcomes. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
Frequently asked questions
How many Boreham Wood picks has the model released?+
Why does the model call Boreham Wood away from home so often?+
How often has the model been right about Boreham Wood this season?+
Which factors are missing for Boreham Wood?+
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