Welcome to the Lower League Analyst blog
A new home for deep dives into the Championship, League One, League Two and National League: the data, the stories and the picks behind every conviction score.
Welcome
This is where we go beyond the fixture list. Every week we will publish notes on the model, breakdowns of the picks that hit (and the ones that did not), and long-form takes on the lower league sides shaping each season.
What to expect
- Model diaries: what the 8-factor score is picking up, and why.
- Team profiles: sides worth watching across the Championship, League One, League Two and National League.
- Weekend previews: the fixtures that scored highest and what makes them stand out.
Thanks for reading.
Lower League Analyst is not a bookmaker and does not take bets. It is the research: the hard work done for you, the working shown, and the record published. No model can guarantee a result, and past performance is not a guide to future outcomes. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. begambleaware.org
Postal service
Get the week's highest-conviction fixtures in your inbox
Every Championship, League One, League Two and National League fixture gets a conviction score out of 10 from our team strength rating, with eight factors shown as the evidence. We only release the fixtures scoring 7.0 or higher, at 10:00 on the first morning each score is final. Drop your email and we'll send you the highlights, plus new analysis from the blog.

