WE TELL YOU WHAT TO BACK. EFL & NATIONAL LEAGUE. EVERY WEEKEND.

Every Championship, League One, League Two and National League fixture, scored out of 10. Only the strongest make the board, every pick is published before kick-off, and every result is logged.

A fixture is scored once both clubs have played six league matches. It only makes the board if it scores 7.0 or higher out of 10 and the side we back is priced at 2.20 or shorter on the morning of the game.

That is why the board is short. We would rather give you four picks we stand behind than forty we don't.

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How the 8-factor conviction model works

Each fixture is scored on league position, recent form, home/away record, head-to-head, goals & clean sheets, shot data & xG, injuries & suspensions, and fixture difficulty. The eight signals combine into a single conviction score from 0 to 10 that reflects how strong the data-backed case is for the match.

Lower League Analyst is a research tool for people who bet on the lower leagues. We don't take bets and we don't tell you what to stake. We score every fixture and publish the strong ones.